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Is Web Already Dead?

Posted by: Robert Allen , January 14, 2011

Articles of Chris Anderson, editor of WIRED, always draw people’s concerns and discussions in the word of software (http://www.globalshareware.com/), such as his theory of the Long Tail, and the “Free: The Future of a Radical Price”. This time he asserted that the Web is Dead. The Original article on the WIRED: The Web Is Dead. Long Live the Internet.

Just as expected,Anderson’s article sparked off a heated debate again. As WIRED just came up with the expensive iPad applications, and the first phase turned out to be a smashing success. I guess Anderson was enlightened by the success and then proposes the theory of the Web Is Dead. But I have serious doubt on the persistence of WIRED’s iPad applications success, especially when people’s intention of trying something new passed away. Will they still be interested in the giant above 500M per issue?

Anderson provided a proportion of total US internet traffic to prove that the Web is dead.

What can you see from the figure? All the proportions of internet applications figures suggest a fall, with only the video’s proportion increasing. However what is video? At least for certain mainstream Website such as YouTube (http://www.globalshareware.com/YouTube-software/), video’s transmission is still on Web. Besides video application lead to heavier traffic than others, the traffic of visiting a video may be larger than visiting hundreds of sites. No wonder the proportion of video is high. Among all of the internet application layer protocol, HTTP protocol is still the most adaptive, most popular, highest carrying-capacity, fastest-developing one so far.

The author mentioned that people mix Web up with Net, which was exactly the case with author himself. Author said the profit-making nature of commerce will make Web accent to the tendency toward closed and private. Through Finer management in customer experience Web will make them pay for it directly instead of getting profits from desultory banners. At the same time, commerce’s positively intervention makes the main leaders larger. For example, Facebook dominated the private communication of over 0.5 billion people. Facebook is not so much a site as a net it self. For another example, the top 10 sites in US took 31% traffic of all in 2001, and 40% in 2006, 75% in 2010.

It is a real chaos of conception. Facebook is part of the Web, however large it is. Even if you visit Facebook by iPhone applications (http://www.globalshareware.com/iPhone-Video-Converter-software/) only, you are still visiting Web, just in another way of visiting, not by explorer, but application. Besides,for a site, being closed、private or not have nothing to do with Web, which is just a problem of access controlling.

In any industry, main leading participants constantly hold the leading role is a common phenomenon. Mainstream sites on Web are easy to gain customers、traffic、and profit as the same. But the giants on Web are not always able to stay on top. Before 2000, AOL is the real giant; had you heard of Facebook before 2004?

I’d like to take the article on WIRED as a hymn to Jobs. iPad had been held in high esteem by author. But it seems that he forgot iPad always need the application of internet, which is still Web.

In fact, the develop tech of Web made it become more and more omnipotent. This is the most critical premise that moving Internet’s sudden change in the situation. At the same, the rapid improving of internet didn’t weaken Web, but rather stiffen its position.

The article proposed a question indeed, not as gigantic as described. That is, whether the application-based moving internet will take place of the Web explorer in mobile phones? Maybe it is more appropriate the title of the article changed to “Mobile Phone Explorer is Dead”. This could be the only valuable issue in the article.

You enter Twitter to search in App Store, can find more than 3000 iPhone applications. In fact, Twitter provided moving sites suit phone explorer as well as official phone application (iPhone application and Android application).

The experience to open the Gmail on the explorer in cell phone is nearly the same as native application or even better. But customer may prefer to open an application rather than a explorer.

The cause of this problem is not the Web is dead, or the power of commerce, but the limitation of cell phone’s own. It is inconvenient to enter with cell phone, and visiting big site causes problems too. Application became the most concise, most direct way to visit certain Web application. Even when YouTube have support phone explorer, probably you still prefer to open YouTube application rather than enter ‘www.youtube.com’ in the address bar of explorer. But on the desk top, you actually don’t need a YouTube application, as the explorer is convenient enough.

Beyond this, there must be one could fill your special requirement in more than 3000 Twitter-concerned application, which is one of the characters of cell phone as a kind of personalized device. That is just the advantage of APP Store Long Tail pattern. Applications of cell phone becoming more and diverse brought Web more personalized color and new opportunity. Web is not dead, it is ready for greater brilliant achievement.


Article from articlesbase.com

Tags: already, Dead

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